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Markets bet on whether a NYSE marketwide circuit breaker will happen before 2026

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Kalshi has reported 15,156 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will a NYSE marketwide circuitbreaker happen before 2026?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 11% chance for "Before 2026", which is down from yesterday, when the market implied a 12% probability.

If any New York Stock Exchange marketwide circuit breaker is imposed after December 20, 2024 and before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 126,543 transactions since it was first opened on December 21, 2024. There are 58,890 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 6,231,064 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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