Kalshi has reported 6,265 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Carlos Moedas win the 2025 Lisbon mayoral election?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 100% chance for "Carlos Moedas", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 100% probability.
If Carlos Moedas wins 2025 Lisbon mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 12,092 transactions since it was first opened on September 08, 2025. There are 5,115 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 33,777 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 97278)
- Will a representative of the Republican party win the NYC Mayor race in 2025? (24h volume: 71078)
- Will the federal government shut down for more than 20 days? (24h volume: 55468)
- Will the Republican party win the governorship in New Jersey (24h volume: 49741)
- Who will win the next presidential election? (24h volume: 39351)
- Will the Republican party win the governorship in Virginia (24h volume: 25883)
- Will Byron Donalds be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party? (24h volume: 23499)
- Will J.B. Pritzker be the nominee for the Presidency for the Democratic party? (24h volume: 21106)
- Donald Trump out this year? (24h volume: 21030)
- Will Curtis Sliwa drop out of the NYC Mayoral race? (24h volume: 20717)
