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Markets bet on whether Zohran Mamdani will receive 50% or more of the vote in the NYC Mayoral Election

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Kalshi has reported 5,356 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “What percent of the vote will Zohran Mamdani get in NYC Mayoral Election?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 46% chance for "50% or more", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 46% probability.

If Zohran Mamdani has 50% share of the vote in the NYC Mayoral Election in 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 23,042 transactions since it was first opened on July 16, 2025. There are 21,109 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 1,175,166 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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