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Markets bet on whether Volodymyr Zelenskyy will resign before Jan 1, 2026

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Kalshi has reported 3,293 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy resign before Jan 1, 2026?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 14% chance for "Before 2026", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 14% probability.

If President of Ukraine resigns before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 120,484 transactions since it was first opened on March 05, 2025. There are 59,443 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 3,961,442 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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