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Markets bet on whether Trump will visit Russia in the first year

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Kalshi has reported 5,690 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Trump visit Russia in the first year?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 33% chance for "Russia", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 33% probability.

If President Trump visits Russia after he becomes President and before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 144,835 transactions since it was first opened on December 18, 2024. There are 33,635 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 2,002,060 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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