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Markets bet on whether Trump will visit Israel in the first year

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Kalshi has reported 29,513 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Trump visit Israel in the first year?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 95% chance for "Israel", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 95% probability.

If President Trump visits Israel after he becomes President and before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 113,237 transactions since it was first opened on December 18, 2024. There are 37,499 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 2,076,238 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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