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Markets bet on whether Trump will pardon Justin Sun before Jan 1, 2026

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Kalshi has reported 26,861 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Who will President Trump pardon before Jan 1, 2026?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 10% chance for "Justin Sun", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 10% probability.

If the President of the United States pardons Justin Sun before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 83,132 transactions since it was first opened on May 09, 2025. There are 37,755 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 1,510,410 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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