Kalshi has reported 12,229 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Trump next nominate Stephen Miran as Fed Chair?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 5% chance for "Stephen Miran", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 5% probability.
If Stephen Miran is the first person formally nominated by the President to Fed Chair before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 236,145 transactions since it was first opened on August 11, 2025. There are 184,496 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 1,087,496 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will the federal government shut down for more than 10 days? (24h volume: 288049)
- Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 202085)
- Will a representative of the Democratic party win the NYC Mayor race in 2025? (24h volume: 179814)
- Will the Republican party win the governorship in New Jersey (24h volume: 149609)
- What will Donald Trump say during Oval Office announcement on October 10th? (24h volume: 81924)
- Will James Comey be arrested before Jan 2027? (24h volume: 69440)
- Will Tim Walz be the nominee for the Presidency for the Democratic party? (24h volume: 55555)
- Donald Trump out this year? (24h volume: 38519)
- Will average **gas prices** be above $3.00? (24h volume: 37287)
- Will the Fed cut rates 3 times? (24h volume: 34709)
