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Markets bet on whether Tim Walz will leave the governorship of Minnesota before February 2026

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Kalshi has reported 189,030 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Tim Walz leave the governorship of Minnesota after Issuance and before February 2026?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 4% chance for "Before February", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 4% probability.

If Tim Walz leaves as Governor of Minnesota after Issuance and before February 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 635,199 transactions since it was first opened on December 31, 2025. There are 471,049 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 11,545,447 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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