Kalshi has reported 58,301 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Stephen Miran be the first person to leave the Trump Cabinet?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 59% chance for "Stephen Miran", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 59% probability.
If Stephen Miran is the first member of the Cabinet of Donald Trump to leave or announce they will leave (such as by quitting, being fired, or being impeached), then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 71,087 transactions since it was first opened on January 11, 2025. There are 41,553 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 14,173,901 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their September 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 325436)
- Will Jon Stewart be the nominee for the Presidency for the Democratic party? (24h volume: 134464)
- Will the Fed cut rates 0 times? (24h volume: 81524)
- Will CPI rise more than 0.1% in July 2025? (24h volume: 63887)
- Will Trump next nominate Kevin Hassett as Fed Chair? (24h volume: 59606)
- Will Stephen Miran be the first person to leave the Trump Cabinet? (24h volume: 58301)
- Will there be a recession in 2025? (24h volume: 57250)
- Will a representative of the Jim Walden party win the NYC Mayor race in 2025? (24h volume: 50005)
- Powell leaves before 2026? (24h volume: 49024)
- Will average **gas prices** be above $3.152? (24h volume: 44049)
