Kalshi has reported 18,706 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 0% and 5% in 2025 Bolivia Presidential election runoff?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 23% chance for "Wins by 0 to 5%", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 23% probability.
If the margin of victory for Rodrigo Paz Pereira in 2025 Bolivia Presidential election runoff in Bolivia falls between 0% and 5% percentage points, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 19,564 transactions since it was first opened on September 17, 2025. There are 18,069 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 3,535,236 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Who will win the Bolivian presidential election? (24h volume: 298562)
- Will John Bolton be arrested before Jan 2026? (24h volume: 134776)
- Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their October 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 126599)
- Will a representative of the Republican party win the NYC Mayor race in 2025? (24h volume: 111719)
- Will Andrew Cuomo drop out of the NYC Mayoral race? (24h volume: 79326)
- Who will get second place in the Mayor? (24h volume: 48395)
- Will the federal government shut down for more than 60 days? (24h volume: 47578)
- Will the Fed cut rates 4 times? (24h volume: 40276)
- Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 23199.99 at the end of Oct 20, 2025 at 4pm EDT? (24h volume: 36756)
- Will the Republican party win the governorship in New Jersey (24h volume: 28264)