Kalshi has reported 25,916 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Who will President Trump pardon before Jan 1, 2026?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 44% chance for "Changpeng Zhao", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 44% probability.
If the President of the United States pardons Changpeng Zhao before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 248,220 transactions since it was first opened on May 09, 2025. There are 68,218 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 3,733,793 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their October 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 527672)
- Will a representative of the Andrew Cuomo party win the NYC Mayor race in 2025? (24h volume: 222222)
- Will the Republican party win the governorship in New Jersey (24h volume: 174870)
- Will the federal government shut down for more than 40 days? (24h volume: 121753)
- Will the Republican party win the governorship in Virginia (24h volume: 106283)
- Will the Fed cut rates 3 times? (24h volume: 80696)
- Will Curtis Sliwa drop out of the NYC Mayoral race? (24h volume: 47064)
- Will average **gas prices** be above $3.10? (24h volume: 45565)
- Will the President sign above 0 Executive Orders between Oct 12, 2025 and Oct 19, 2025? (24h volume: 39053)
- Will Republicans win the House? (24h volume: 33147)
