Kalshi has reported 8,597 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 27% chance for "Nigel Farage", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 27% probability.
If Nigel Farage is the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom before 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 31,100 transactions since it was first opened on January 08, 2025. There are 18,909 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 36,757,003 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 377279)
- Will a representative of the Andrew Cuomo party win the NYC Mayor race in 2025? (24h volume: 289788)
- Will the federal government shut down for more than 5 days? (24h volume: 150976)
- Who will IPO in 2025? (24h volume: 63197)
- Will average **gas prices** be above $3.10? (24h volume: 61615)
- Who will get second place in the Mayor? (24h volume: 59140)
- Will Musk have a net worth more than 500 billion before Jan 1, 2026? (24h volume: 49945)
- Will Democrats win VA Governor AND VA House of Delegates AND NJ Governor AND Mamdani wins NYC Mayor all win their elections? (24h volume: 47734)
- Will the Republican party win the governorship in New Jersey (24h volume: 42773)
- Donald Trump out this year? (24h volume: 41972)
