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Markets bet on whether Nicolás Maduro will leave office next

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Kalshi has reported 3,384 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Nicolás Maduro leave office next in this set?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 19% chance for "Nicolás Maduro", which is up from yesterday, when the market implied a 15% probability.

If President of Venezuela is the first leader among the above to leave office, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 3,794 transactions since it was first opened on February 06, 2025. There are 3,794 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 540,765 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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