Kalshi has reported 5,970 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “What will Jerome Powell say during Powell's speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium entitled “Labor Markets in Transition: Demographics, Productivity, and Macroeconomic Policy”?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 26% chance for "Russia", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 26% probability.
If Jerome Powell says Russia as part of Powell's speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium entitled “Labor Markets in Transition: Demographics, Productivity, and Macroeconomic Policy”, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 6,202 transactions since it was first opened on August 18, 2025. There are 6,011 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 3,374,037 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their September 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 207857)
- Will a representative of the Andrew Cuomo party win the NYC Mayor race in 2025? (24h volume: 59597)
- Will Gavin Newsom be the nominee for the Presidency for the Democratic party? (24h volume: 56958)
- Will average **gas prices** be above $3.10? (24h volume: 22270)
- Will the White House Press Secretary say Border at her next press briefing? (24h volume: 20611)
- Will Trump release any documents about Epstein's associates before Jan 1, 2026? (24h volume: 19155)
- Will Dan Bongino leave the Trump Administration this year? (24h volume: 15961)
- Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 2.8% for the year ending in August 2025? (24h volume: 15468)
- Will the Republican party win the governorship in New Jersey (24h volume: 15026)
- Will any Texas House Democrat be arrested before Sep 2025? (24h volume: 12921)
