Kalshi has reported 46,588 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Nicolás Maduro out in November?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 8% chance for "Nicolás Maduro", which is down from yesterday, when the market implied a 9% probability.
If Nicolás Maduro has resigned or otherwise left as president of Venezuela before Dec 1, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 732,180 transactions since it was first opened on November 01, 2025. There are 469,698 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 17,092,990 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their December 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 150522)
- Will gold outperform Bitcoin in 2025? (24h volume: 73885)
- Will Mikie Sherrill win by 14 to 100 percentage points in New Jersey? (24h volume: 64700)
- Will Jon Ossoff be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? (24h volume: 57088)
- Nicolás Maduro out this year? (24h volume: 49461)
- Nicolás Maduro out in November? (24h volume: 46588)
- Will Marjorie Taylor Greene be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party? (24h volume: 30198)
- Will the S&P 500 be above 5881.63 on Dec 31, 2025 at 4pm EST? (24h volume: 25910)
- Will the USD/JPY open price be between 158.250 and 158.499 at Nov 24, 2025 at 10am EST? (24h volume: 24112)
- Will average **gas prices** be above $3.00? (24h volume: 22045)