Kalshi has reported 12,490 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Joni Ernst vote for Confirmation of Stephen Miran as a Federal Reserve Governor?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 25% chance for "Joni Ernst", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 25% probability.
If Joni Ernst votes for Confirmation of Stephen Miran as a Federal Reserve Governor in the Senate before Sep 15, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 15,176 transactions since it was first opened on August 29, 2025. There are 9,383 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 921,977 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their September 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 1298824)
- Will a representative of the Eric Adams party win the NYC Mayor race in 2025? (24h volume: 132549)
- Will CPI rise more than 0.3% in August 2025? (24h volume: 117857)
- Lisa DeNell Cook out as Federal Reserve Governor before Jan 2026? (24h volume: 102942)
- Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 2.8% for the year ending in August 2025? (24h volume: 70773)
- Will Eric Adams drop out of the NYC Mayoral race? (24h volume: 60597)
- Will the Fed cut rates 3 times? (24h volume: 56304)
- Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Trump in V.O.S. Selections, Inc. v. Trump (24h volume: 46932)
- Government shutdown in 2025? (24h volume: 46423)
- Will Trump restore local control of DC police before Oct 2025 (24h volume: 43812)
