Kalshi has reported 82,864 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will the Fed cut rates 3 times?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 28% chance for "Exactly 3 cuts", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 28% probability.
If the Fed cuts 3 times before 2026, the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 1,146,450 transactions since it was first opened on December 20, 2024. There are 415,012 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 45,810,438 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their September 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 602428)
- Will Cory Booker be the nominee for the Presidency for the Democratic party? (24h volume: 200000)
- Will a representative of the Andrew Cuomo party win the NYC Mayor race in 2025? (24h volume: 149274)
- Will the Fed cut rates 3 times? (24h volume: 82864)
- Will above 0 jobs be added in August 2025? (24h volume: 53418)
- Will Eric Adams drop out of the NYC Mayoral race? (24h volume: 26533)
- Will Jamieson Greer be the first person to leave the Trump Cabinet? (24h volume: 23800)
- Will the Federal Reserve hike rates by December 31, 2025? (24h volume: 22729)
- Government shutdown in 2025? (24h volume: 21820)
- Lisa DeNell Cook out as Federal Reserve Governor before Jan 2026? (24h volume: 21254)
