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Markets bet on whether John Cornyn will be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Texas

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Kalshi has reported 8,770 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Wil John Cornyn be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Texas?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 36% chance for "John Cornyn", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 36% probability.

If John Cornyn wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Class II Texas Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 131,758 transactions since it was first opened on December 04, 2024. There are 55,268 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 3,840,025 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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