Kalshi has reported 23,405 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will James Walkinshaw win between 50% and 100% of votes in the 2025 Virginia's 11th congressional district special election?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 88% chance for "At least 50%", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 88% probability.
If the margin of victory for James Walkinshaw in the 2025 Virginia's 11th congressional district special election is between 50% and 100%, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 27,367 transactions since it was first opened on September 09, 2025. There are 8,223 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 372,180 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their September 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 1298824)
- Will a representative of the Eric Adams party win the NYC Mayor race in 2025? (24h volume: 132549)
- Will CPI rise more than 0.3% in August 2025? (24h volume: 117857)
- Lisa DeNell Cook out as Federal Reserve Governor before Jan 2026? (24h volume: 102942)
- Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 2.8% for the year ending in August 2025? (24h volume: 70773)
- Will Eric Adams drop out of the NYC Mayoral race? (24h volume: 60597)
- Will the Fed cut rates 3 times? (24h volume: 56304)
- Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Trump in V.O.S. Selections, Inc. v. Trump (24h volume: 46932)
- Government shutdown in 2025? (24h volume: 46423)
- Will Trump restore local control of DC police before Oct 2025 (24h volume: 43812)
