Kalshi has reported 18,482 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Catherine Connolly win the 2025 Ecuadorian presidential election?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 88% chance for "Catherine Connolly", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 88% probability.
If Catherine Connolly wins the 2025 Irish presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 42,620 transactions since it was first opened on September 15, 2025. There are 33,405 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 8,939,418 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Who will win the Bolivian presidential election? (24h volume: 298562)
- Will John Bolton be arrested before Jan 2026? (24h volume: 134776)
- Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their October 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 126599)
- Will a representative of the Republican party win the NYC Mayor race in 2025? (24h volume: 111719)
- Will Andrew Cuomo drop out of the NYC Mayoral race? (24h volume: 79326)
- Who will get second place in the Mayor? (24h volume: 48395)
- Will the federal government shut down for more than 60 days? (24h volume: 47578)
- Will the Fed cut rates 4 times? (24h volume: 40276)
- Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 23199.99 at the end of Oct 20, 2025 at 4pm EDT? (24h volume: 36756)
- Will the Republican party win the governorship in New Jersey (24h volume: 28264)
