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Markets bet on whether Bitcoin will outperform gold in 2025

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Kalshi has reported 8,227 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Bitcoin outperform gold in 2025?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 4% chance for "In 2025", which is down from yesterday, when the market implied a 5% probability.

If Bitcoin outperforms gold in 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 22,934 transactions since it was first opened on November 24, 2025. There are 18,973 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 2,255,504 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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