Kalshi has reported 37,508 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Who will be named in Epstein documents released in 2025?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 72% chance for "Barack Obama", which is down from yesterday, when the market implied a 74% probability.
If Barack Obama is named in any context in any documents held by the federal government directly regarding Jeffrey Epstein and/or his crimes released before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 249,877 transactions since it was first opened on July 25, 2025. There are 178,821 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 2,943,951 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will the federal government shut down for more than 43 days? (24h volume: 2715848)
- Will the federal government shut down for fewer than 92 days? (24h volume: 376327)
- Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their December 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 206818)
- Will the House vote on an omnibus spending bill, minibus, or government-wide continuing resolution (CR)? (24h volume: 124303)
- Will Bruce Harrell win the election for the Mayor of Seattle in 2025? (24h volume: 106761)
- Will CPI rise more than 0.1% in October 2025? (24h volume: 94161)
- House passes bill to release Epstein files this year? (24h volume: 85793)
- Donald Trump out this year? (24h volume: 81057)
- Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.1% for the year ending in October 2025? (24h volume: 71541)
- Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Trump in V.O.S. Selections, Inc. v. Trump (24h volume: 70716)
