Kalshi has reported 12,018 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Who will be named in Epstein documents released in 2025?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 17% chance for "Barack Obama", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 17% probability.
If Barack Obama is named in any context in any documents held by the federal government directly regarding Jeffrey Epstein and/or his crimes released before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 27,364 transactions since it was first opened on July 25, 2025. There are 13,308 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 891,402 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will a representative of the Democratic party win the NYC Mayor race in 2025? (24h volume: 933405)
- Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their September 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 423062)
- Donald Trump out this year? (24h volume: 94969)
- Will Trump release any documents about Epstein's associates before Jan 1, 2026? (24h volume: 68131)
- Will average **gas prices** be above $3.10? (24h volume: 42419)
- Will above 50000 jobs be added in August 2025? (24h volume: 38758)
- Will Eric Adams drop out of the NYC Mayoral race? (24h volume: 36807)
- Will the Fed cut rates 0 times? (24h volume: 33366)
- Will there be a recession in 2025? (24h volume: 32928)
- Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 24500 and 24999.99 at the end of 2025? (24h volume: 30613)
