Kalshi has reported 128,108 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Ali Khamenei leave Supreme Leader of Iran before Jan 1, 2027?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 53% chance for "Ali Khamenei", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 53% probability.
If Ali Khamenei has either officially announced their intention to leave as Supreme Leader of Iran or has actually left Supreme Leader of Iran before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 631,305 transactions since it was first opened on November 11, 2025. There are 461,484 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 63,990,091 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will Trump buy Greenland? (24h volume: 240072)
- Will the United States acquire any part of Greenland before 2029? (24h volume: 217063)
- Will Tim Walz leave the governorship of Minnesota after Issuance and before February 2026? (24h volume: 189030)
- Will the government be shut down on January 31? (24h volume: 175889)
- Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their January 2026 meeting? (24h volume: 147335)
- Will Ali Khamenei leave Supreme Leader of Iran before Jan 1, 2027? (24h volume: 128108)
- Will government spending decrease by 1 before 2025? (24h volume: 109349)
- Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Trump in V.O.S. Selections, Inc. v. Trump (24h volume: 90437)
- Will Trump next nominate Judy Shelton as Fed Chair? (24h volume: 73622)
- Will María Corina Machado be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026? (24h volume: 57013)
