Kalshi has reported 29,228 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Abigail Spanberger outperform the final Real Clear Polling average in the 2025 Virginia Governor election?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 65% chance for "Yes", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 65% probability.
If Abigail Spanberger's margin of victory overperforms that of the final Real Clear Polling average margin of victory (“spread”) at 10:00 AM ET on Nov 4, 2025 in the 2025 Virginia Governor election, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 103,327 transactions since it was first opened on October 13, 2025. There are 71,205 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 1,668,799 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will a representative of the Andrew Cuomo party win the NYC Mayor race in 2025? (24h volume: 11660998)
- Will Jack Ciattarelli win the 2025 New Jersey gubernatorial election? (24h volume: 2815275)
- Will Winsome Earle-Sears win the 2025 Virginia gubernatorial election? (24h volume: 858078)
- Margin of victory for Zohran Mamdani in the Mayoral Election? (24h volume: 655319)
- Will Mikie Sherrill win by 0 to 1.99 percentage points in New Jersey? (24h volume: 591764)
- Will Democrats win VA Governor AND VA House of Delegates AND NJ Governor AND Mamdani wins NYC Mayor all win their elections? (24h volume: 508528)
- Who will get second place in the Mayor? (24h volume: 409175)
- Will Zohran Mamdani receive between 60% and 70.00% of the popular vote in New York City? (24h volume: 308816)
- Will Abigail Spanberger win by 14 to 100 percentage points in Virginia? (24h volume: 267999)
- What percent of the vote will Zohran Mamdani get in NYC Mayoral Election? (24h volume: 245043)
