Middle East Supply Shock: Social media discussions on CF Industries Holdings have surged amid escalating Middle East tensions closing the Strait of Hormuz, disrupting a third of global fertilizer exports. Participants note urea prices jumping 77% since late last year, driving the stock to record highs with gains exceeding 40% over six months. Many highlight this as a boon for nitrogen producers insulated from the chaos.
Insider Selling Concerns: Chatter turned cautious as reports emerged of seven insiders offloading over $10 million in shares last week, coinciding with the rally's peak. Traders debate whether these sales at all-time highs signal profit-taking or deeper worries, especially amid DOJ antitrust probes and a senator's price-gouging inquiry.
Litigation Tailwind and Downgrades: A $169.5 million settlement with Orica provided a brief lift, viewed positively against shipping woes. Yet, fresh analyst downgrades warn the conflict-fueled surge may prove fleeting as supplies reroute. Conversations balance these fertilizer fundamentals with regulatory risks looming over spring planting.
Note: This discussion summary was generated from an AI condensation of post data.
CF Industries Holdings Insider Trading Activity
CF Industries Holdings insiders have traded $CF stock on the open market 28 times in the past 6 months. Of those trades, 0 have been purchases and 28 have been sales.
Here’s a breakdown of recent trading of $CF stock by insiders over the last 6 months:
- W ANTHONY WILL has made 0 purchases and 13 sales selling 552,594 shares for an estimated $59,198,479.
- SUSAN L MENZEL (EVP and Chief Admin. Officer) has made 0 purchases and 5 sales selling 39,228 shares for an estimated $4,694,253.
- BERT A FROST (EVP, Chief Commercial Officer) has made 0 purchases and 4 sales selling 26,886 shares for an estimated $3,228,270.
- ASHRAF K MALIK (Sr. VP, Manufacturing & D'istn) has made 0 purchases and 2 sales selling 11,070 shares for an estimated $1,160,424.
- MICHAEL PATRICK MCGRANE (SVP, Gen. Counsel & Secretary) has made 0 purchases and 2 sales selling 6,432 shares for an estimated $718,514.
- RICHARD A HOKER (VP and Corporate Controller) sold 6,184 shares for an estimated $676,096
- ERIK M. MAYER (VP, Clean Energy & BusDevelop) sold 2,200 shares for an estimated $255,749
To track insider transactions, check out Quiver Quantitative's insider trading dashboard.
CF Industries Holdings Revenue
CF Industries Holdings had revenues of $1.9B in Q4 2025. This is an increase of 22.83% from the same period in the prior year.
You can track CF financials on Quiver Quantitative's CF stock page.
CF Industries Holdings Congressional Stock Trading
Members of Congress have traded $CF stock 1 times in the past 6 months. Of those trades, 1 have been purchases and 0 have been sales.
Here’s a breakdown of recent trading of $CF stock by members of Congress over the last 6 months:
- REPRESENTATIVE GILBERT RAY CISNEROS, JR. purchased up to $15,000 on 01/09.
To track congressional stock trading, check out Quiver Quantitative's congressional trading dashboard.
CF Industries Holdings Hedge Fund Activity
We have seen 360 institutional investors add shares of CF Industries Holdings stock to their portfolio, and 473 decrease their positions in their most recent quarter.
Here are some of the largest recent moves:
- UBS AM, A DISTINCT BUSINESS UNIT OF UBS ASSET MANAGEMENT AMERICAS LLC removed 3,632,479 shares (-78.0%) from their portfolio in Q4 2025, for an estimated $280,935,925
- FIRST TRUST ADVISORS LP removed 1,201,332 shares (-64.7%) from their portfolio in Q4 2025, for an estimated $92,911,016
- PACER ADVISORS, INC. removed 1,185,245 shares (-100.0%) from their portfolio in Q4 2025, for an estimated $91,666,848
- DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP added 1,178,516 shares (+37.6%) to their portfolio in Q4 2025, for an estimated $91,146,427
- NORGES BANK added 1,095,556 shares (+77.8%) to their portfolio in Q4 2025, for an estimated $84,730,301
- MILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT LLC removed 727,200 shares (-59.2%) from their portfolio in Q4 2025, for an estimated $56,241,648
- VICTORY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC removed 654,554 shares (-13.1%) from their portfolio in Q4 2025, for an estimated $50,623,206
To track hedge funds' stock portfolios, check out Quiver Quantitative's institutional holdings dashboard.
CF Industries Holdings Analyst Ratings
Wall Street analysts have issued reports on $CF in the last several months. We have seen 1 firms issue buy ratings on the stock, and 1 firms issue sell ratings.
Here are some recent analyst ratings:
- Mizuho issued a "Underperform" rating on 03/18/2026
- Wells Fargo issued a "Overweight" rating on 10/16/2025
To track analyst ratings and price targets for CF Industries Holdings, check out Quiver Quantitative's $CF forecast page.
CF Industries Holdings Price Targets
Multiple analysts have issued price targets for $CF recently. We have seen 11 analysts offer price targets for $CF in the last 6 months, with a median target of $100.0.
Here are some recent targets:
- Edlain Rodriguez from Mizuho set a target price of $100.0 on 03/18/2026
- Hamir Patel from CIBC set a target price of $118.0 on 03/17/2026
- Michael Sison from Wells Fargo set a target price of $150.0 on 03/13/2026
- Benjamin Theurer from Barclays set a target price of $120.0 on 03/03/2026
- Joshua Spector from UBS set a target price of $97.0 on 02/24/2026
- Andrew D. Wong from RBC Capital set a target price of $100.0 on 02/23/2026
- Ben Isaacson from Scotiabank set a target price of $85.0 on 02/23/2026
This article is not financial advice. See Quiver Quantitative's disclaimers for more information. Note that there may be inaccuracies due to mistakes in ticker-mapping, and other anomalies.
