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AAON jumps after blowout Q1 results, bigger backlog, and sharply higher 2026 outlook

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AAON, Inc. (AAON) is up 51.0% today. Here is some analysis on what might have caused this price movement.

Analysis: The stock appears to be surging after the company posted a major first-quarter 2026 beat and raised its full-year 2026 outlook, pointing to stronger-than-expected demand and improved conversion of backlog into shipments. The company also highlighted record backlog and disclosed a new $100 million share repurchase authorization, which likely added to bullish sentiment.

Details:

  • AAON reported first-quarter 2026 net sales of $496.9 million, up 54.3% year over year, alongside stronger profitability versus the prior-year period.
  • Diluted EPS for the quarter was $0.48, reflecting solid earnings leverage as volume increased.
  • Backlog was disclosed at $2.13 billion, reinforcing visibility for future revenue, including continued momentum tied to data center-related cooling demand.
  • In connection with the earnings release and related Form 8-K, AAON raised its full-year 2026 outlook to 40%–45% revenue growth and authorized up to $100 million of open-market share repurchases.
  • Sources:

    SEC (EDGAR), AAON Investor Relations, PR Newswire

    Disclaimer: This price movement analysis was generated with the help of AI. Please double-check the information provided for mistakes.

    $AAON Insider Trading Activity

    AAON Insider Trades

    $AAON insiders have traded $AAON stock on the open market 14 times in the past 6 months. Of those trades, 3 have been purchases and 11 have been sales.

    Here’s a breakdown of recent trading of $AAON stock by insiders over the last 6 months:

    • REBECCA THOMPSON (Chief Accounting Officer) has made 0 purchases and 4 sales selling 31,893 shares for an estimated $3,194,990.
    • GARY D FIELDS has made 0 purchases and 4 sales selling 30,299 shares for an estimated $3,187,509.
    • STEPHEN E WAKEFIELD (Executive Vice President) has made 3 purchases buying 6,141 shares for an estimated $484,400 and 0 sales.
    • CASEY KIDWELL (Chief Administration Officer) has made 0 purchases and 3 sales selling 5,225 shares for an estimated $470,250.

    To track insider transactions, check out Quiver Quantitative's insider trading dashboard. You can access data on insider stock transactions through the Quiver Quantitative API.

    $AAON Hedge Fund Activity

    We have seen 189 institutional investors add shares of $AAON stock to their portfolio, and 220 decrease their positions in their most recent quarter.

    Here are some of the largest recent moves:

    To track hedge funds' stock portfolios, check out Quiver Quantitative's institutional holdings dashboard. You can access data on hedge funds moves and 13F filings through the Quiver Quantitative API.

    $AAON Price Targets

    Multiple analysts have issued price targets for $AAON recently. We have seen 2 analysts offer price targets for $AAON in the last 6 months, with a median target of $119.0.

    Here are some recent targets:

    • Noah Kaye from Oppenheimer set a target price of $118.0 on 03/03/2026
    • Brent Thielman from DA Davidson set a target price of $120.0 on 02/03/2026

    This article is not financial advice. See Quiver Quantitative's disclaimers for more information. Note that there may be inaccuracies due to mistakes in ticker-mapping, and other anomalies.

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