Vulcan Materials slides after Q4 earnings miss and softer-than-expected 2026 outlook

Vulcan Materials Company (VMC) is down 7.8% today. Here is some analysis on what might have caused this price movement.

Analysis: The drop appears tied to Vulcan’s fourth-quarter 2025 results coming in below expectations, particularly on earnings. Investors also reacted to the company’s 2026 profitability outlook, which implied a slower earnings trajectory than the market had priced in.

Details:

Vulcan reported fourth-quarter 2025 adjusted EPS of $1.70, down from $2.17 in the prior-year quarter, alongside revenue of about $1.91 billion.

Quarterly profitability weakened year over year, with gross profit reported at roughly $487 million versus about $537 million a year earlier.

For 2026, Vulcan guided to adjusted EBITDA of $2.4 billion to $2.6 billion, which was viewed as light relative to what investors were looking for.

The company noted portfolio actions in its downstream business, including an agreement to sell California ready-mixed concrete operations, expected to close in Q2 2026 subject to approvals and other conditions.

Sources:

Vulcan Materials Company (Press Release)

Barron’s

Zacks Investment Research

Disclaimer: This price movement analysis was generated with the help of AI. Please double-check the information provided for mistakes.

$VMC Insider Trading Activity

$VMC insiders have traded $VMC stock on the open market 13 times in the past 6 months. Of those trades, 0 have been purchases and 13 have been sales.

Here’s a breakdown of recent trading of $VMC stock by insiders over the last 6 months:

THOMPSON S II BAKER (President) has made 0 purchases and 5 sales selling 22,049 shares for an estimated $6,510,820.
GRAYSON HALL has made 0 purchases and 2 sales selling 4,658 shares for an estimated $1,354,266.
STANLEY G BASS (Chief Strategy Officer) sold 3,333 shares for an estimated $959,904
DAVID P CLEMENT (Senior Vice President) has made 0 purchases and 3 sales selling 2,698 shares for an estimated $785,494.
DENSON N. III FRANKLIN (SVP, Gen. Counsel & Secretary) sold 665 shares for an estimated $196,175
RANDY L. PIGG (Vice President and Controller) sold 650 shares for an estimated $186,264

To track insider transactions, check out Quiver Quantitative's insider trading dashboard.

$VMC Hedge Fund Activity

We have seen 464 institutional investors add shares of $VMC stock to their portfolio, and 477 decrease their positions in their most recent quarter.

Here are some of the largest recent moves:

UBS AM, A DISTINCT BUSINESS UNIT OF UBS ASSET MANAGEMENT AMERICAS LLC removed 2,861,873 shares (-77.1%) from their portfolio in Q4 2025, for an estimated $816,263,417
FMR LLC added 2,767,380 shares (+163.1%) to their portfolio in Q4 2025, for an estimated $789,312,123
LONE PINE CAPITAL LLC added 1,384,624 shares (+inf%) to their portfolio in Q3 2025, for an estimated $425,938,034
EGERTON CAPITAL (UK) LLP added 960,173 shares (+inf%) to their portfolio in Q4 2025, for an estimated $273,860,543
JPMORGAN CHASE & CO removed 838,800 shares (-10.6%) from their portfolio in Q4 2025, for an estimated $239,242,536
MACQUARIE GROUP LTD removed 685,760 shares (-98.2%) from their portfolio in Q4 2025, for an estimated $195,592,467
PRICE T ROWE ASSOCIATES INC /MD/ removed 412,738 shares (-66.9%) from their portfolio in Q4 2025, for an estimated $117,721,132

To track hedge funds' stock portfolios, check out Quiver Quantitative's institutional holdings dashboard.

$VMC Analyst Ratings

Wall Street analysts have issued reports on $VMC in the last several months. We have seen 4 firms issue buy ratings on the stock, and 0 firms issue sell ratings.

Here are some recent analyst ratings:

Citigroup issued a "Buy" rating on 01/08/2026
JP Morgan issued a "Overweight" rating on 10/21/2025
Raymond James issued a "Outperform" rating on 10/21/2025
Barclays issued a "Overweight" rating on 10/20/2025

To track analyst ratings and price targets for $VMC, check out Quiver Quantitative's $VMC forecast page.

$VMC Price Targets

Multiple analysts have issued price targets for $VMC recently. We have seen 8 analysts offer price targets for $VMC in the last 6 months, with a median target of $327.5.

Here are some recent targets:

Timna Tanners from Wells Fargo set a target price of $317.0 on 01/29/2026
Rohit Seth from B. Riley Securities set a target price of $345.0 on 01/16/2026
Brent Thielman from DA Davidson set a target price of $330.0 on 01/14/2026
Anthony Pettinari from Citigroup set a target price of $345.0 on 01/08/2026
Anthony Codling from RBC Capital set a target price of $278.0 on 10/31/2025
Adrian Huerta from JP Morgan set a target price of $340.0 on 10/21/2025
Patrick Tyler Brown from Raymond James set a target price of $325.0 on 10/21/2025

This article is not financial advice. See Quiver Quantitative's disclaimers for more information. Note that there may be inaccuracies due to mistakes in ticker-mapping, and other anomalies.