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Tractor Supply slips as investors continue to weigh Q1 results and a wave of price-target cuts

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Tractor Supply Company (TSCO) is down 3.3% today. Here is some analysis on what might have caused this price movement.

Analysis: The move appears tied to continued post-earnings pressure after Tractor Supply’s Q1 update, as investors focused on a softer profitability profile and muted comparable-sales momentum despite reaffirmed full-year guidance. The slide also fits with lingering negative sentiment as several firms trimmed price targets in the days following the report.

Details:

  • Tractor Supply posted first-quarter results for the period ended March 28, 2026, and reaffirmed its fiscal 2026 outlook (including comparable store sales growth of 1% to 3% and diluted EPS guidance of $2.13 to $2.23).
  • In the quarter, the company reported modest comparable-store sales growth, which can be read as a sign that demand is normalizing after prior-year strength.
  • After the earnings release, multiple analysts issued price-target cuts, which can pressure the stock as consensus expectations reset.
  • With the stock already trending lower since the earnings date, incremental selling may be driven by technical/positioning factors as investors reduce exposure to weaker retail momentum names (speculation).
  • Sources:

    Tractor Supply Company Investor Relations, TradingView, MarketBeat

    Disclaimer: This price movement analysis was generated with the help of AI. Please double-check the information provided for mistakes.

    $TSCO Insider Trading Activity

    TSCO Insider Trades

    $TSCO insiders have traded $TSCO stock on the open market 7 times in the past 6 months. Of those trades, 0 have been purchases and 7 have been sales.

    Here’s a breakdown of recent trading of $TSCO stock by insiders over the last 6 months:

    • ROBERT D MILLS (EVP Chief Technology Officer) sold 62,950 shares for an estimated $3,406,854
    • JONATHAN S ESTEP (EVP Chief Merchandise Officer) sold 59,745 shares for an estimated $3,228,022
    • COLIN YANKEE (EVP Chief Supply Chain Officer) has made 0 purchases and 3 sales selling 11,170 shares for an estimated $618,262.
    • KURT D BARTON (EVP Chief Financial Officer) has made 0 purchases and 2 sales selling 3,813 shares for an estimated $205,428.

    To track insider transactions, check out Quiver Quantitative's insider trading dashboard. You can access data on insider stock transactions through the Quiver Quantitative API.

    $TSCO Hedge Fund Activity

    We have seen 504 institutional investors add shares of $TSCO stock to their portfolio, and 626 decrease their positions in their most recent quarter.

    Here are some of the largest recent moves:

    To track hedge funds' stock portfolios, check out Quiver Quantitative's institutional holdings dashboard. You can access data on hedge funds moves and 13F filings through the Quiver Quantitative API.

    $TSCO Congressional Stock Trading

    Members of Congress have traded $TSCO stock 10 times in the past 6 months. Of those trades, 7 have been purchases and 3 have been sales.

    Here’s a breakdown of recent trading of $TSCO stock by members of Congress over the last 6 months:

    To track congressional stock trading, check out Quiver Quantitative's congressional trading dashboard. You can access data on congressional stock trades through the Quiver Quantitative API.

    $TSCO Analyst Ratings

    Wall Street analysts have issued reports on $TSCO in the last several months. We have seen 6 firms issue buy ratings on the stock, and 0 firms issue sell ratings.

    Here are some recent analyst ratings:

    • Argus Research issued a "Buy" rating on 02/02/2026
    • Piper Sandler issued a "Overweight" rating on 01/30/2026
    • Mizuho issued a "Outperform" rating on 01/30/2026
    • Jefferies issued a "Buy" rating on 01/30/2026
    • Telsey Advisory Group issued a "Outperform" rating on 01/23/2026
    • Evercore ISI Group issued a "Outperform" rating on 11/05/2025

    To track analyst ratings and price targets for $TSCO, check out Quiver Quantitative's $TSCO forecast page.

    $TSCO Price Targets

    Multiple analysts have issued price targets for $TSCO recently. We have seen 19 analysts offer price targets for $TSCO in the last 6 months, with a median target of $50.0.

    Here are some recent targets:

    • Max Rakhlenko from TD Cowen set a target price of $38.0 on 04/27/2026
    • Steven Zaccone from Citigroup set a target price of $46.0 on 04/23/2026
    • Oliver Wintermantel from Evercore ISI Group set a target price of $50.0 on 04/23/2026
    • Steven Forbes from Guggenheim set a target price of $60.0 on 04/23/2026
    • Simeon Gutman from Morgan Stanley set a target price of $45.0 on 04/22/2026
    • Justin Kleber from Baird set a target price of $50.0 on 04/22/2026
    • Peter Keith from Piper Sandler set a target price of $51.0 on 04/22/2026

    This article is not financial advice. See Quiver Quantitative's disclaimers for more information. Note that there may be inaccuracies due to mistakes in ticker-mapping, and other anomalies.

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