Nuvini Group projects R$50-60 million EBITDA for 2025, aiming to enhance future growth through strategic acquisitions and AI integration.
Quiver AI Summary
Nuvini Group Limited (Nasdaq: NVNI) announced its financial expectations for fiscal year 2025, projecting an EBITDA of approximately R$50 to R$60 million, excluding acquisitions, and suggesting that its current market valuation of around $45 million indicates an undervaluation relative to its fundamentals. The company anticipates its annualized run-rate EBITDA could reach R$85–95 million by the end of Q1 2026 if planned acquisitions are completed. Nuvini aims to lower its cost of capital from 20% to 12% per annum to enhance the accretive nature of future acquisitions, and it has reported strong retention and cash conversion rates for its SaaS businesses. CEO Pierre Schurmann emphasized the goal of reaching over $100 million in EBITDA in five years through disciplined acquisitions and operational efficiencies driven by AI. COO Gustavo Usero highlighted the potential for improving EBITDA margins by leveraging AI and integrating successful practices from established software consolidators.
Potential Positives
- Nuvini expects to generate an EBITDA of approximately R$50 to R$60 million for the fiscal year 2025, indicating strong financial prospects.
- The company projects an increase in annualized run-rate EBITDA to approximately R$85–95 million by the end of Q1 2026 if current acquisitions are completed.
- Management's initiatives to reduce the cost of capital from roughly 20% to 12% are expected to make future acquisitions highly accretive.
- Nuvini is leveraging AI to drive operational efficiencies, revenue growth, and cost reduction across its portfolio, aligning with industry best practices.
Potential Negatives
- The company's EBITDA guidance for 2025 indicates a relatively low range of R$50 to R$60 million, which may raise concerns about its growth potential when compared to its R$45 million market value.
- The press release emphasizes the inherent uncertainties and risks associated with forward-looking statements, potentially undermining investor confidence in the company's future performance.
- There are no assurances that Nuvini will successfully complete its potential acquisitions or achieve the anticipated EBITDA levels, which could affect overall performance and investor expectations.
FAQ
What is Nuvini Group Limited's expected EBITDA for fiscal year 2025?
Nuvini Group Limited expects to generate approximately R$50 to R$60 million of EBITDA for fiscal year 2025.
How will future acquisitions impact Nuvini's EBITDA?
Future acquisitions could increase Nuvini’s annualized run-rate EBITDA to approximately R$85–95 million by the end of Q1 2026.
What is Nuvini's plan to reduce its cost of capital?
Nuvini aims to reduce its cost of capital from roughly 20% to 12% per annum to facilitate more accretive acquisitions.
How does Nuvini integrate AI into its operations?
Nuvini integrates AI across functions to enhance operational leverage, driving revenue growth and cost efficiencies.
What is Nuvini's long-term vision for growth?
Nuvini's long-term vision is to buy, retain, and create value through strategic partnerships and operational expertise in the SaaS sector.
Disclaimer: This is an AI-generated summary of a press release distributed by GlobeNewswire. The model used to summarize this release may make mistakes. See the full release here.
$NVNI Hedge Fund Activity
We have seen 6 institutional investors add shares of $NVNI stock to their portfolio, and 8 decrease their positions in their most recent quarter.
Here are some of the largest recent moves:
- TOWNSQUARE CAPITAL LLC removed 423,336 shares (-100.0%) from their portfolio in Q2 2025, for an estimated $125,434
- JANE STREET GROUP, LLC added 135,750 shares (+inf%) to their portfolio in Q2 2025, for an estimated $40,222
- QUBE RESEARCH & TECHNOLOGIES LTD removed 106,364 shares (-100.0%) from their portfolio in Q2 2025, for an estimated $31,515
- DRIVE WEALTH MANAGEMENT, LLC removed 83,500 shares (-19.8%) from their portfolio in Q2 2025, for an estimated $24,741
- SOLTIS INVESTMENT ADVISORS LLC added 57,332 shares (+49.3%) to their portfolio in Q2 2025, for an estimated $16,987
- TWO SIGMA SECURITIES, LLC added 51,106 shares (+203.3%) to their portfolio in Q2 2025, for an estimated $15,142
- VIRTU FINANCIAL LLC added 44,191 shares (+inf%) to their portfolio in Q2 2025, for an estimated $13,093
To track hedge funds' stock portfolios, check out Quiver Quantitative's institutional holdings dashboard.
Full Release
NEW YORK, Oct. 16, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Nuvini Group Limited (Nasdaq: NVNI) (“Nuvini” or the “Company”) , a leading acquirer and operator of vertical market SaaS businesses in Latin America, today provided its fiscal year 2025 and outlined key drivers of its growth strategy.
For the twelve months ending December 31, 2025, Nuvini expects to generate approximately R$50 to R$60 million of EBITDA, excluding the impact of acquisitions. At its current market value of roughly $45 million, the midpoint of guidance implies an EV/EBITDA multiple below 4.5x, underscoring the substantial disconnect between fundamentals and valuation.
Targets in the Company’s current acquisitions pipeline with signed letters of intent, if acquired, would contribute to an increase in the Company’s annualized run-rate EBITDA to approximately R$85–95 million by the end of Q1 2026.
Management also highlighted ongoing initiatives to reduce the Company’s cost of capital for future acquisitions from roughly 20% to 12% per annum, which will make acquisitions deeply accretive if executed at 4x to 6x EBITDA multiples. These acquired SaaS businesses have 90%+ retention, strong cash conversion rates in line with our current portfolio (65% +) and are very well positioned on the SaaS rule of 40, a financial metric that states a company's revenue growth rate plus its profit margin should equal or exceed 40% to indicate a healthy, high-performing business. Also, they should benefit from Nuvini’s current AI strategy across both cost and revenue functions.
Pierre Schurmann, Founder and CEO, stated, “Through this EBITDA guidance, we wanted to provide investors with transparency into our 2025 financial trajectory. Our model is simple: disciplined acquisitions at attractive multiples, consistent organic growth, and a lower cost of capital, all translating into compounding EBITDA. We believe in the next 5 years the business could be a $100m+ EBITDA business while maintaining high cash conversion rates.
Our financial architecture mirrors what successful software consolidators such as Roper Technologies (Nasdaq: ROP) and Constellation Software (TSE: CSU) have achieved. We aim to replicate that durable, high-margin model in Latin America with a relentless focus on return on invested capital while focusing on a low net debt to EBITDA.”
Gustavo Usero, Chief Operating Officer, added, “From my past experience at Constellation Software and what I’ve learned from other serial acquirers, there is a clear opportunity to increase EBITDA margins to best-in-class levels like Constellation Software and Roper Technologies. By integrating AI across every function, supported by partnerships such as Oracle, we’re unlocking a new phase of operational leverage. AI is already driving both revenue and cost efficiencies across the Nuvini ecosystem.”
About Nuvini
Headquartered in São Paulo, Brazil, Nuvini is Latin America’s leading acquirer of business to business (B2B) software as a service (SaaS) companies. The Company focuses on acquiring profitable, high-growth SaaS businesses with strong recurring revenue and cash flow generation. By fostering an entrepreneurial environment, Nuvini enables its portfolio companies to scale and maintain leadership within their respective industries. The Company’s long-term vision is to buy, retain, and create value through strategic partnerships and operational expertise.
Forward-Looking Statements
Statements about future expectations, plans and prospects, as well as any other statements regarding matters that are not historical facts, may constitute “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of The Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. The words “anticipate,” “believe,” “continue,” “could,” “estimate,” “expect,” “intend,” “may,” “plan,” “potential,” “predict,” “project,” “should,” “target,” “will,” “would” and similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements, although not all forward-looking statements contain these identifying words. Because forward–looking statements relate to the future, they are subject to inherent uncertainties, risks, and changes in circumstances that are difficult to predict. The Company cannot guarantee future results, levels of activity, performance, or achievements. Actual results may differ materially from those indicated by such forward-looking statements as a result of various important factors, including, without limitation: the Company’s ability to complete the potential acquisitions on the anticipated timeline or at all; general market conditions that could affect the consummation of the potential acquisition; if definitive documents with respect to a potential acquisition are executed, whether the parties will achieve any of the anticipated benefits of any such transactions; and other factors discussed in the “Risk Factors” section of the Company’s Ǫuarterly and Annual Reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”) and the risks described in other filings that the Company may make with the SEC. In particular, there are no assurances that Nuvini will be able to successfully complete the acquisitions with signed letters of intent, and, once acquired, that the anticipated levels of EBITDA will be achieved. Factors or events that could cause the Company’s actual results to differ may emerge from time to time, and it is not possible for the Company to predict all of them. Any forward-looking statements speak only as of the date hereof, and the Company specifically disclaims any obligation to update any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as required by applicable law. We caution you, therefore, against relying on any of these forward‐looking statements.
Nuvini Investor Relations Contact
Sofia Toledo
[email protected]
MZ North America
[email protected]