Kalshi has reported 4,175 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Government shutdown in 2025?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 37% chance for "Before 2026", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 37% probability.
If the government is shutdown at any 10:00 AM ET before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 728,000 transactions since it was first opened on November 05, 2024. There are 144,778 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 205,560,421 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their September 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 921790)
- Will the Fed cut rates 0 times? (24h volume: 70949)
- Will average **gas prices** be above $3.15? (24h volume: 60611)
- Powell leaves before 2026? (24h volume: 30158)
- Will a representative of the Democratic party win the NYC Mayor race in 2025? (24h volume: 29310)
- Will Gavin Newsom be the nominee for the Presidency for the Democratic party? (24h volume: 21976)
- Will Donald J. Trump Jr. be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party? (24h volume: 17621)
- Will CPI rise more than 0.3% in August 2025? (24h volume: 14628)
- What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (24h volume: 14245)
- Will a bill that removes/changes the gambling tax provision that OBBB becomes law before Jan 1, 2026? (24h volume: 13745)
