Kalshi has reported 73,155 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Government shutdown in 2025?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 65% chance for "Before 2026", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 65% probability.
If the government is shutdown at any 10:00 AM ET before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 1,462,328 transactions since it was first opened on November 05, 2024. There are 404,096 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 24,696,768 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will a representative of the Andrew Cuomo party win the NYC Mayor race in 2025? (24h volume: 399355)
- Will the government be shut down on October 01? (24h volume: 315675)
- Government shutdown in 2025? (24h volume: 73155)
- Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their October 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 58388)
- Donald Trump out this year? (24h volume: 57225)
- Will average **gas prices** be above $3.15? (24h volume: 51632)
- Will the Republican party win the governorship in New Jersey (24h volume: 49526)
- Will win between 30% and 34.99% of votes in 2025 Arizona's 7th congressional district special election? (24h volume: 40017)
- Powell leaves before 2026? (24h volume: 39655)
- Will above 100000 jobs be added in September 2025? (24h volume: 37302)
