Kalshi has reported 222,305 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will the federal government shut down for more than 37 days?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 100% chance for "More than 37 days", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 100% probability.
If the ongoing federal government shutdown (starting October 1) lasts for Above 37 days (through 10:00 AM ET November 7), then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 666,770 transactions since it was first opened on October 29, 2025. There are 337,613 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 647,623 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will the federal government shut down for fewer than 92 days? (24h volume: 705799)
- Will a representative of the Democratic party win the NYC Mayor race in 2025? (24h volume: 519860)
- Will the federal government shut down for more than 37 days? (24h volume: 222305)
- Will the President sign Executive Orders between Nov 2, 2025 and Nov 8, 2025? (24h volume: 218712)
- Will Mikie Sherrill win by 14 to 100 percentage points in New Jersey? (24h volume: 214443)
- Margin of victory for Zohran Mamdani in the Mayoral Election? (24h volume: 213642)
- Will Bruce Harrell win the election for the Mayor of Seattle in 2025? (24h volume: 196516)
- Will Democrats win VA Governor AND VA House of Delegates AND NJ Governor AND Mamdani wins NYC Mayor all win their elections? (24h volume: 190705)
- Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Trump in V.O.S. Selections, Inc. v. Trump (24h volume: 181970)
- Will Marjorie Taylor Greene be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party? (24h volume: 136057)
