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Markets bet on whether the United States will take a stake in Intel in 2025

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Kalshi has reported 8,002 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will the United States take a stake in Intel in 2025?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 98% chance for "In 2025", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 98% probability.

If the United States take a stake in Intel before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 8,533 transactions since it was first opened on August 14, 2025. There are 4,448 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 247,200 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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