Kalshi has reported 20,000 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will the S&P 500 be above 7600 at the end of Dec 31, 2025?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 3% chance for "7,600.01 or above", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 3% probability.
If the end-of-day S&P 500 index value for December 31, 2025 is above 7600, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 130,065 transactions since it was first opened on November 05, 2024. There are 107,857 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 73,984,554 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their September 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 1405177)
- Will a representative of the Democratic party win the NYC Mayor race in 2025? (24h volume: 88501)
- Lisa DeNell Cook out as Federal Reserve Governor before Jan 2026? (24h volume: 63101)
- Will the Republican party win the governorship in New Jersey (24h volume: 56257)
- Donald Trump out this year? (24h volume: 51956)
- Will Eric Adams drop out of the NYC Mayoral race? (24h volume: 38716)
- Will the Fed cut rates 3 times? (24h volume: 36914)
- Will Trump next nominate Rick Reider as Fed Chair? (24h volume: 29105)
- Will Kash Patel leave the Trump Administration this year? (24h volume: 25951)
- Will the S&P 500 be above 7600 at the end of Dec 31, 2025? (24h volume: 20000)
