Kalshi has reported 14,000 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will the S&P 500 be above 6774.9999 on Oct 20, 2025 at 4pm EDT?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 10% chance for "6,775 or above", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 10% probability.
If the end-of-day S&P 500 index value on October 20, 2025 is above 6774.9999, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 14,000 transactions since it was first opened on October 17, 2025. There are 100 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 1,000 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will Ro Khanna be the nominee for the Presidency for the Democratic party? (24h volume: 667000)
- Will the President sign above 0 Executive Orders between Oct 12, 2025 and Oct 19, 2025? (24h volume: 555613)
- Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 405092)
- Will John Bolton be arrested before Jan 2026? (24h volume: 158584)
- Will a representative of the Andrew Cuomo party win the NYC Mayor race in 2025? (24h volume: 158371)
- Will the federal government shut down for more than 60 days? (24h volume: 110879)
- Will government spending decrease by 1 before 2025? (24h volume: 84379)
- Will the Fed cut rates 4 times? (24h volume: 40525)
- Wil Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Maine? (24h volume: 35661)
- Will average **gas prices** be above $3.05? (24h volume: 32416)
