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Markets bet on whether the President will be impeached before Jan 1, 2026

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Kalshi has reported 9,801 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will the President be impeached before Jan 1, 2026?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 2% chance for "Before Jan 1, 2026", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 2% probability.

If the President of the United States has been impeached before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 56,271 transactions since it was first opened on November 13, 2025. There are 32,542 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 22,771,812 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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