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Markets bet on whether the Democratic party will win the House

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Kalshi has reported 4,786 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will the Democratic party win the House?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 69% chance for "Democratic Party", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 69% probability.

If the Democratic has won control of the House in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 298,336 transactions since it was first opened on November 06, 2024. There are 154,859 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 529,039,024 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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