Kalshi has reported 21,681 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will tariffs on any sector come into effect before Oct 2025?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 12% chance for "Before Oct 2025", which is down from yesterday, when the market implied a 13% probability.
If the President imposes any new (or raised) tariffs before Oct 1, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 45,804 transactions since it was first opened on September 07, 2025. There are 24,023 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 4,276,492 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 278714)
- Will James Comey be arrested before Jan 2027? (24h volume: 219075)
- Will a representative of the Democratic party win the NYC Mayor race in 2025? (24h volume: 152191)
- Will the government be shut down on October 01? (24h volume: 136785)
- Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Virginia (24h volume: 99661)
- Will the Republican party win the governorship in New Jersey (24h volume: 91008)
- Will average **gas prices** be above $3.15? (24h volume: 68092)
- Government shutdown in 2025? (24h volume: 48949)
- Will the Fed cut rates 3 times? (24h volume: 41617)
- Will **real GDP** increase by more than 4.0% in Q3 2025? (24h volume: 38675)
