Kalshi has reported 11,594 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “When will there be a half-trillionaire?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 100% chance for "Before 2026", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 100% probability.
If there is a person with an estimated net worth of $500 billion or more before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 76,075 transactions since it was first opened on December 05, 2024. There are 17,613 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 25,108,201 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their October 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 271253)
- Will a representative of the Democratic party win the NYC Mayor race in 2025? (24h volume: 191985)
- Will the federal government shut down for more than 10 days? (24h volume: 138674)
- Who will IPO in 2025? (24h volume: 130807)
- Will above 25000 jobs be added in September 2025? (24h volume: 90512)
- Will average **gas prices** be above $3.05? (24h volume: 57141)
- Will the Republican party win the governorship in New Jersey (24h volume: 56993)
- Lisa DeNell Cook out as Federal Reserve Governor before Jan 2026? (24h volume: 51440)
- Will the Fed cut rates 3 times? (24h volume: 38435)
- Will Musk have a net worth more than 500 billion before Jan 1, 2026? (24h volume: 37948)
