Kalshi has reported 15,021 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will the price of natural gas get above $4 per million BTU by December 29, 2025?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 99% chance for "$4.01 or above", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 99% probability.
If the spot price of Henry Hub natural gas hits above $4 per million BTU on any day between November 04, 2025 and December 29, 2025 as reported by the EIA, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 46,521 transactions since it was first opened on November 06, 2025. There are 25,162 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 55,063 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their December 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 747500)
- Will the Fed cut rates 3 times? (24h volume: 183584)
- Will Chris Murphy be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? (24h volume: 93948)
- Will CPI rise more than 0.2% in November 2025? (24h volume: 90198)
- Will the Department of Education be eliminated before Jan 1, 2026? (24h volume: 85118)
- Will average **gas prices** be above $3.10? (24h volume: 59265)
- Will Trump meet with Justin Trudeau before 2025? (24h volume: 57047)
- Will gold outperform Bitcoin in 2025? (24h volume: 53083)
- Will legislation extending enhanced ACA premium tax credits becomes law before Jan 1, 2026? (24h volume: 46434)
- Donald Trump out this year? (24h volume: 45834)
