Kalshi has reported 7,208 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will there be more than 100000 government employees cut before Jan 2026?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 100% chance for "More than 100,000", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 100% probability.
If there are more than 100,000 federal employees no longer working, relative to the January 2025 employee count before January 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 342,994 transactions since it was first opened on November 12, 2024. There are 71,782 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 101,746,318 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 518796)
- Lisa DeNell Cook out as Federal Reserve Governor before Jan 2026? (24h volume: 365129)
- Will a representative of the Democratic party win the NYC Mayor race in 2025? (24h volume: 175276)
- Will the federal government shut down for more than 10 days? (24h volume: 172571)
- Will the Fed cut rates 5 times? (24h volume: 109206)
- Will the Republican party win the governorship in New Jersey (24h volume: 101604)
- Will average **gas prices** be above $3.10? (24h volume: 90440)
- Will above 25000 jobs be added in September 2025? (24h volume: 72203)
- Will the Republican party win the governorship in Virginia (24h volume: 65443)
- Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.2% in September? (24h volume: 42559)
