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Markets bet on whether legislation extending enhanced ACA premium tax credits becomes law before Jan 1, 2026

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Kalshi has reported 54,806 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will legislation extending enhanced ACA premium tax credits becomes law before Jan 1, 2026?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 20% chance for "legislation extending enhanced ACA premium tax credits", which is down from yesterday, when the market implied a 21% probability.

If legislation extending enhanced ACA premium tax credits becomes law before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 816,774 transactions since it was first opened on July 24, 2025. There are 246,104 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 17,066,291 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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