Kalshi has reported 5,063 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Inflation surge in Dec 10, 2025?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 20% chance for "At least 4%", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 20% probability.
If year-over-year CPI inflation is above 3.99% in any month in 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 219,974 transactions since it was first opened on November 05, 2024. There are 75,183 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 7,477,712 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their September 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 114040)
- Lisa DeNell Cook out as Federal Reserve Governor before Jan 2026? (24h volume: 106502)
- Will Jon Ossoff be the nominee for the Presidency for the Democratic party? (24h volume: 79514)
- Will average **gas prices** be above $3.15? (24h volume: 52722)
- Who will be named in Epstein documents released in 2025? (24h volume: 30611)
- Will a representative of the Democratic party win the NYC Mayor race in 2025? (24h volume: 22148)
- Will average **gas prices** be above $3.137? (24h volume: 18947)
- Will Taiwanese referendum on the operation of the Maanshan Nuclear Power Plant's second reactor in Taiwan pass? (24h volume: 16700)
- Powell leaves before 2026? (24h volume: 13916)
- Will the Fed cut rates 0 times? (24h volume: 12978)
