Kalshi has reported 5,058 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Inflation surge in Dec 10, 2025?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 18% chance for "At least 4%", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 18% probability.
If year-over-year CPI inflation is above 3.99% in any month in 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 232,623 transactions since it was first opened on November 05, 2024. There are 75,731 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 6,476,468 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their September 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 148544)
- Will a representative of the Andrew Cuomo party win the NYC Mayor race in 2025? (24h volume: 144960)
- Donald Trump out this year? (24h volume: 125178)
- Will average **gas prices** be above $3.20? (24h volume: 34877)
- Will above 25000 jobs be added in August 2025? (24h volume: 31699)
- Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.2% in August? (24h volume: 27920)
- Lisa DeNell Cook out as Federal Reserve Governor before Jan 2026? (24h volume: 23059)
- JD Vance out as Vice President of the United States before Jan 2026? (24h volume: 18864)
- Will Donald J. Trump Jr. be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party? (24h volume: 15666)
- Will the Fed cut rates 3 times? (24h volume: 12064)
