Kalshi has reported 12,114 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will government spending decrease by 1000 before 2025?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 1% chance for "At least 1 trillion", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 1% probability.
If government spending decreases by at least 1000 during Q4 2024 to Q4 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 461,590 transactions since it was first opened on November 13, 2024. There are 103,980 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 5,386,623 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their September 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 244327)
- Will the Fed cut rates 0 times? (24h volume: 42300)
- Will a representative of the Andrew Cuomo party win the NYC Mayor race in 2025? (24h volume: 42219)
- Donald Trump out this year? (24h volume: 40210)
- Will Eric Adams drop out of the NYC Mayoral race? (24h volume: 33688)
- Tesla robotaxi released to public before Jan 1, 2026? (24h volume: 29229)
- Will Trump restore local control of DC police before Oct 2025 (24h volume: 27566)
- Will average **gas prices** be above $3.190? (24h volume: 22893)
- Will Gavin Newsom be the nominee for the Presidency for the Democratic party? (24h volume: 17722)
- Will egg prices rise by more than 0% in Aug 2025? (24h volume: 17187)
