Kalshi has reported 31,780 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will government spending decrease by 1 before 2025?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 8% chance for "At least 1 billion", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 8% probability.
If government spending decreases by at least $1 billion during Q4 2024 to Q4 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 1,784,610 transactions since it was first opened on February 25, 2025. There are 531,112 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 11,501,694 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will Democratic win the House race for TN-7? (24h volume: 1046208)
- Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their December 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 517387)
- Who will be elected President of Honduras in 2025? (24h volume: 377123)
- Will Matt Van Epps's margin in the Tennessee's 7th congressional district special election runoff be between 5 and 9.99? (24h volume: 271061)
- Will Trump next nominate Kevin Hassett as Fed Chair? (24h volume: 270753)
- Will the Fed cut rates 2 times? (24h volume: 113204)
- Nicolás Maduro out this year? (24h volume: 79385)
- Donald Trump out this year? (24h volume: 72754)
- Will Republicans win the U.S. Senate in 2026? (24h volume: 72230)
- Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump Administration this year? (24h volume: 69800)
