Kalshi has reported 5,314 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will any member of Trump's Cabinet leave before Oct 2025?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 56% chance for "Before October", which is up from yesterday, when the market implied a 55% probability.
If any member of Trump's Cabinet leaves their office, or announces they will leave their office, from Feb 28, 2025 to Oct 1, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 64,853 transactions since it was first opened on February 28, 2025. There are 25,982 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 1,348,350 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will Jon Stewart be the nominee for the Presidency for the Democratic party? (24h volume: 198530)
- Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their September 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 102217)
- Will average **gas prices** be above $3.152? (24h volume: 61262)
- Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin before 2026? (24h volume: 37879)
- Will CPI rise more than 0.1% in July 2025? (24h volume: 36433)
- Will average **gas prices** be above $3.10? (24h volume: 30102)
- Will there be a recession in 2025? (24h volume: 24557)
- Will a representative of the Andrew Cuomo party win the NYC Mayor race in 2025? (24h volume: 23025)
- Who will IPO in 2025? (24h volume: 19429)
- Powell leaves before 2026? (24h volume: 15684)
