Kalshi has reported 25,067 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will a bill that removes/changes the gambling tax provision that OBBB becomes law before Jan 1, 2026?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 18% chance for "a bill that removes/changes the gambling tax provision that OBBB", which is down from yesterday, when the market implied a 20% probability.
If a bill that removes/changes the gambling tax provision that OBBB becomes law before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 574,842 transactions since it was first opened on July 17, 2025. There are 295,070 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 21,791,117 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their September 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 1857083)
- Will a representative of the Republican party win the NYC Mayor race in 2025? (24h volume: 109810)
- What will Tim Cook say during Apple Event on 9/9/2025? (24h volume: 99720)
- Will CPI rise more than 0.4% in August 2025? (24h volume: 60848)
- Will the Fed cut rates 4 times? (24h volume: 58643)
- Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.0% for the year ending in August 2025? (24h volume: 50502)
- Government shutdown in 2025? (24h volume: 37431)
- Will there be a recession in 2025? (24h volume: 35381)
- Will Ron DeSantis be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party? (24h volume: 25208)
- Will a bill that removes/changes the gambling tax provision that OBBB becomes law before Jan 1, 2026? (24h volume: 25067)
