Kalshi has reported 15,883 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Margin of victory for Zohran Mamdani in the Mayoral Election?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 44% chance for "24% or more", which is down from yesterday, when the market implied a 45% probability.
If the popular vote margin of victory is 24% or more for Zohran Mamdani in the 2025 NYC Mayoral Election, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 78,226 transactions since it was first opened on August 13, 2025. There are 43,244 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 4,419,753 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 755419)
- Will a representative of the Democratic party win the NYC Mayor race in 2025? (24h volume: 637446)
- Who will win the Bolivian presidential election? (24h volume: 314023)
- Will Cory Booker be the nominee for the Presidency for the Democratic party? (24h volume: 260005)
- Will John Bolton be arrested before Jan 2026? (24h volume: 250107)
- Will the federal government shut down for more than 30 days? (24h volume: 211427)
- Will the Republican party win the governorship in New Jersey (24h volume: 179898)
- Will Democrats win VA Governor AND VA House of Delegates AND NJ Governor AND Mamdani wins NYC Mayor all win their elections? (24h volume: 126243)
- Will Curtis Sliwa drop out of the NYC Mayoral race? (24h volume: 65536)
- Powell leaves before 2026? (24h volume: 48796)
